Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.054485 0.059056 0.063677 0.068692 0.073973 0.079362 0.085269
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 0.047411 0.054185 0.061275 0.069221 0.077851 0.086914 0.097124
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 0.042150 0.050556 0.059632 0.070096 0.081763 0.094310 0.108762
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.038154 0.047839 0.058594 0.071305 0.085803 0.101711 0.120373
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.036249 0.047223 0.059705 0.074768 0.092268 0.111783 0.135011
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.031599 0.042988 0.056296 0.072725 0.092197 0.114284 0.140976
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.028375 0.040184 0.054323 0.072138 0.093625 0.118362 0.148644
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.025711 0.037844 0.052716 0.071812 0.095217 0.122524 0.156342
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.024655 0.037444 0.053415 0.074233 0.100069 0.130524 0.168574
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.023188 0.036385 0.053187 0.075425 0.103371 0.136652 0.178595
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.021774 0.035287 0.052818 0.076363 0.106307 0.142314 0.188063
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.019934 0.033474 0.051407 0.075875 0.107388 0.145668 0.194718
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.018786 0.032592 0.051222 0.077000 0.110576 0.151723 0.204834
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.017146 0.030896 0.049853 0.076506 0.111658 0.155162 0.211771
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.015938 0.029748 0.049165 0.076862 0.113800 0.159913 0.220343
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.015034 0.028988 0.048964 0.077830 0.116713 0.165627 0.230128
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.014983 0.029529 0.050606 0.081327 0.122977 0.175636 0.245355
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.013230 0.027277 0.048135 0.079065 0.121547 0.175789 0.248175
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.012075 0.025895 0.046854 0.078391 0.122179 0.178547 0.254261
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.011094 0.024725 0.045825 0.078017 0.123174 0.181748 0.260902
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.010919 0.024911 0.046836 0.080564 0.128161 0.190178 0.274278
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.010440 0.024533 0.046960 0.081816 0.131373 0.196297 0.284720
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.009930 0.024063 0.046914 0.082803 0.134212 0.201936 0.294569